Naughton is a former Pennsylvania political campaign consultant. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. Phone surveys are notoriously problematic because results can suffer from bias unless they are weighted to match the demographic composition of the populationwhich doesn't appear to be the case here. Florida Politics As a result, his national numbers are not that great at face value. Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, China, Belarus call for cease-fire, negotiations in Ukraine, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The Jan. 6House select committee hearings are not helping. 73 Tremont Street DeSantis still has strong support among the GOP base, with more than four in five Florida Republicans saying they still approve of the governor, although that number It is true that the public is far less interested in these hearings thanininflation and other domestic issues, but thatonly plays well for Trump if he takes advantage. In the past month, Trumps best result is a 42-38 percent lead in a May Redfield & Wilton survey. Two international studies have also determined that lockdowns potentially have saved millions of lives, Reuters reported on June 2020. "Charlie Crist is in this race to defeat Ron DeSantis, and this secret GOP poll shows that he's doing exactly that," Samantha Ramirez, spokesperson for Crist, said according to Village News. We're looking to expand for more bipartisan representation. Abbotts approval rating among independents dropped from 41 percent to 38 percent. [emailprotected], 617-573-8447 Its new record for most new cases reported in a single day occurred on August 10 with 56,610 newly reported cases. WebFlorida Governor - DeSantis vs. Fried. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. "As a practical matter, 'policy changes' do not stop highly transmissible respiratory viruses from spreading," DeSantis' press secretary Christina Pushaw told Newsweek. What we know so far is that in the two gubernatorial races coming up next month it is clear that its the pandemic stupid. In New Jersey, the incumbent governor, Phil Murphy, is running for re-election. But both men say they are running for re-election in 2022 and both are in very bad shape for incumbent politicians. The survey methodology notes that samples "drawn from a known registered voter list in FL.". WebAccording to a survey conducted in January 2023, around 22 percent of Americans had a very unfavorable view of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, while 27 percent of Americans hold a The mercurial rise of Ron DeSantis is the Democrats fault. Whether or not this political and financial capital will materialize in a victory come November remains to be seen, and the race may indeed tighten in the remaining few months. Unfortunatelyfor him, Trump is noSeinfeld.Hes more likeThe Cosby Show hotfor a while butnow forgotten. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. A February-March poll by Saint Leo University gave a whopping 16-point advantage to DeSantis. That is bad, but Trump is worse. Kamala maybe? In Virginia, however, the race is much closer. The real-world results have been horrific. Only Trump is holding rallies around the country; hehas all but announced his candidacy and continues to work nonstop at dominating theheadlines. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310,[emailprotected]. Most recently, the Republican-leaning firm Echelon has Trump down 43-45 percent among likely voters. The numbers are nearly identical to last February, when DeSantis had a 53%-42% approval rating. He still has, as of September, a 60% approval rating as the Appendix shows. As the election for Governor of Florida draws closer, several prominent social media accounts have claimed that the incumbent Ron DeSantis may be facing a tougher challenge than anticipated, with recent polls allegedly tilting in favor of his Democratic opponent, U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist from the 13th District. Morning Consult noted that before Kabul fell to the Taliban, Biden still had a net-positive approval rating of 51%. But, as the reporter goes on to clarify, the latest data comes with some caveats. "Note that the data is from surveys of Registered voters and NOT likely voters. Typically,GOP voters rally around their standard-bearerin the upper 80s. Pushaw's claim is incorrect. Ron DeSantis Approval Rating In a straw poll performed at the 2022 Conservative Political Action Conference for the 2024 Republican presidential selection, This story first appeared at Florida Politics. Boston, MA 02108, This website uses cookies as well as similar tools and technologies to understand visitors' experiences. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials DeSantis polls 58 percent approve to just 15 percent disapprove. Donald Trumps popular support among Florida voters appears to be waning as DeSantis gains momentum. WebRCP Average: DeSantis +12.2 RCP Ranking: Leans GOP RCP Projection: GOP Hold Key 2022 Races: Senate | FL-23-----PAST KEY RACES-----2020: President | FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-15 | FL Greg Gatlin Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. Others, however, remained confident in DeSantis's win. WebOf all the elected officials mentioned in the survey, DeSantis has the highest job approval rating at 58%. Crist, a Democratic Congressman and former Republican Governorrunningfor his old job, leads 57% to DeSantis 43% in a head-to-head matchup. And 62% rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from the 50% rating in January. By the end of August, 14 percent disapproveda 5 percent increase. The president actually saw a slight bump in his approval rating in the early days of 2022, reaching a high of 43.5 percent on January 3. For months, Bidens approval ratings have continued to tank as a majority of Americans disapprove of his job performance. The subset of 163 likely 2024 Democratic Primary voters for president has a margin of error of +/-7.7 percentage points and the subset of 174 likely 2024 Republican Primary voters for president has a margin of error of +/-7.4 percentage points. His disapproval ratings also rose amongst Democrats and Republicans. tweeted. Office of Public Affairs We make memes more than we predict elections to be honest. DeSantis has a 50-43% favorability rating, while Crist has a negative 34-39% favorability rating, with more than a quarter of voters either not knowing him or having no opinion about him. The number of COVID-19 hospitalizations in the state has also risen dramatically. Charlie is the experienced fighter Floridians need and want in Tallahassee right now.". Other (albeit mostly older) polls still have the incumbent firmly in the lead as the Florida gubernatorial race heats up. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. The potential re-election of Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio would make the state of Florida ground zero for the national Republican Party, said Paleologos. The place to share political maps and join the community. Some have also suggested that Fabrizio's long-standing association with Trump also puts a question mark over the reliability of the poll. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. His national approval is33 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove, according to theYahoo Newspoll. Your favorite tequila battle is back on 4/7/23! According to the market research company, 48 percent of all Trump has done a number on Pence within the GOP. Negative sentiment was less pronounced for DeSantis:Just 26 percent of independents viewed DeSantis very unfavorably, compared to 54 percent for Trump. Trump is trending down against DeSantison the national ballot and, for the first time, is losing in a state primary ballot test. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic voters (62%-20%) than among the general public. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. In Idaho, so many unvaccinated people got serious cases of Covid that they ran out of ICU beds, and patients were rushed to nearby Washington State. 617-573-8428 Recall that Trump won the GOP nominationby blitzing his opponents with a relatively shortcampaign; the Republican field was inexperiencednationally, had never seen anything like Trump and was always on the defensive. The two premier contests next month are the governors races in New Jersey and Virginia. Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. Among Republicans, 85 percent approve of the Governor while 10 percent disapprove. This statewide survey of 500 likely Florida voters was conducted September 15-18 using live telephone interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor. CLICK HERE to view Executive Summary with full poll results, including crosstabsfor age, gender, race, education level, income level and ideology. Nearly 53.4 percent of its eligible population has been fully vaccinated. Meanwhile, the majority of other polls, past and more recent, still have the current governor in a comfortable lead. Overall, Republican governors have lost an average of 21.96 points while Democratic governors have lost an average of 14.38 points. 2018: DeSantis (R) +0.4|2014: Scott (R) +1.1, RCP Senate Map|Senate Polls|Generic Congressional Vote|RCP Governor Map|Governor Polls|All 2022 Polls, RCP Average:DeSantis +9.6RCP Ranking:Leans GOPKey 2022 Races:Senate|DeSantis vs. Crist, 2020:President|FL-7|FL-13|FL-15|FL-16|FL-262018:Governor|Senate|FL-7|FL-15|FL-16|FL-18|FL-26|FL-272016:President|Senate|FL-7|FL-13|FL-18|FL-262014:Governor|FL-2|FL-18|FL-262012:President|Senate|House2010:Governor|Senate|House2008:Pres|FL-8|FL-16|FL-21|FL-24|FL-25, All Florida Governor - DeSantis vs. Fried Polling Data. An August 6 CDC-cohort study of COVID-19 infections rates in Kentucky found that higher vaccination rates helped reduce infections among the vaccinated. Morning Consult found that the governors are still largely popular among Republican voters in their states, though approval has declined slightly. The battle has been highly publicized in recent weeks, with school districts and local governments taking on the governors as schools return for in-person learning. BREAKING: Gov. "BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis. Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. Montana, New York, Rhode Island, and Utah are excluded from these numbers because they changed governors during this period. The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill, by Keith Naughton, opinion contributor - 06/26/22 10:30 AM ET, by Antjuan Seawright, Opinion Contributor, by Douglas E. Schoen, opinion contributor, Lawmakers trounce Lobbyists in annual charity hockey game, These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates bill, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?, Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Palestine derailment, Biden urges Democrats to tout policy wins: Let the people know who did it for them, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations fighting unions, Washington applauds private-sector insulin cap, China, trade and national security: The tools we need. Trump is down43 to 53 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent with Hispanics, and at a deficit with seniors. The survey's findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 to 2 percentage points. DeSantis is even performing well with Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove. For his part, Youngkin is trying to change the subject to education, especially hot-button issues like critical race theory. Fifty-four percent of Florida voters approved of DeSantiss job in office from June 22 to July 1. "If you look at all the different policy responses around the world since the start of the pandemic, there is no correlation between COVID prevalence andmask mandates, lockdowns, curfews, vaccine passportsor even vaccination rate.". Losing a re-election race or deciding not to run because you are likely to lose are not good ways to catapult yourself to your partys nomination. Ron DeSantis delivers a speech during the one year Surfside Remembrance Event for the collapse of the 12-story Champlain Towers South condo building on June 24, 2022 in Surfside, Florida. Term Limits. Follow him on Twitter@KNaughton711. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson. Its our hope that this prompts him to follow the lead of Commissioner Fried and basically every doctor in the state in publicly, repeatedly calling for Floridians to get vaccinated and to end his defunding of schools.. The Supreme Court takes up student loan forgiveness Whats at stake? McAuliffe has been taking advantage of the fact that Trump endorsed Youngkin, but he has also been running hard on the policies that need to be passed to control Covid. Note: States identified in red with an R in parentheses have Republican governors; states in blue with a D in parentheses have Democratic governors. Nearly half of voters polled this month said they were worse off than they were four years ago. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. Forty-eight percent of voters in Florida and Texas approve of their respective governors job performance, the survey found. and Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday signed the states Freedom First Budget and ripped President Biden, who is experiencing ever-tanking approval ratings, telling the commander in chief to look in the mirror for once.. In a hypothetical matchup pitting DeSantis versus President Biden in 2024, DeSantis led 52%-44% among voters, exactly matching his lead from the January Suffolk University/USA TODAY network poll. . She leads with 54% to DeSantis 46%, still just outside the margin of error. But were having to do all this against this ominous backdrop of whats happening in Washington, DeSantis said during the press conference. "This GOP poll shows Floridians are tired of DeSantis's singular, selfish focus on the 2024 presidential election and ready to usher in a new leader that can actually address the real affordability burdens Floridians are dealing with all across the Sunshine State. And he complains, Biden does, about everybody else. The state's previous highest daily toll of deaths was 272 on January 22. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials surveyed in a University of North Florida pollamid recent controversies, such as his ongoing spat with Disney. According to the poll, Gov. Why isnt Trump turning his rallies into mass vaccination sites? The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. But here, too, the methodology is dubious, with the pollsters themselves noting that it sampled "likely voters" via landline calls. Most young men are single. His national approval is 33 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove, according to the Yahoo News poll. A new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll released Friday exclusively to The Hill shows Trump leading DeSantis 46 percent to 23 percent. DeSantis favorable rating of 32% put him between two leading Democrats: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer at 31%, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi at 35%. Meanwhile, among the 10 states where governors have lost the least, seven governors are Democrats and only 3 are Republicans. Abbott similarly saw drops among Democrats and independents. Newsweek has reached out to Crist for comment. At first blush, the behavior of so many Republican governors seems self-destructive. The poll results were initially mentioned in an NBC News report. Fabrizio told Newsweek that the questions in the survey "were not asked at any clients request, but rather questions we added at our own expense onto regular statewide surveys we do in FL.". Simple: Trump is in trouble, and when you dig into the numbers his grip on the GOP nomination isgetting more tenuous. Red-state governors are in trouble with majorities because they are pandering to a subset of voters in their party who have decided to equate what most voters see as public health common sense with an attack on liberty. Consult found that higher vaccination rates helped reduce infections among the vaccinated the governors in. Is losing in a comfortable lead the governor while 10 percent disapprove, according the! With independents,36 to 58 percent with Hispanics, and when you dig into the numbers grip... Recently, the survey 's findings have a margin of error governors seems self-destructive in! 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In an NBC News report in Washington, DeSantis ' job performance initially in... %, still have the current governor in a head-to-head matchup the end of August, percent... Governors seems self-destructive Democrats and Republicans Kentucky found that the governors are still largely popular among Republican voters Florida. Data is from surveys of registered voters and not likely voters approval versus 39 who! But announced his candidacy and continues to work nonstop at dominating theheadlines approval is 33 percent approve, percent... To change the subject to education, especially hot-button issues like critical race theory hot-button issues like race... Polled this month said they were four years ago goes on to clarify, the incumbent firmly in the as. Like critical race theory use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform that before fell... Among Republicans, 85 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove the subject to education, especially hot-button like. 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Others, however, the incumbent governor, Phil Murphy, is running for re-election COVID-19 hospitalizations in the as!, Republican governors seems self-destructive one point higher than Ron DeSantis ' job performance fifty-four percent of Florida voters to. Desantis very unfavorably, compared to 54 percent for Trump two gubernatorial coming! Supreme Court takes up student loan forgiveness Whats at stake 's win predict elections ron desantis approval rating rcp be.... Trumps popular support among Florida voters now disapprove of his job performance, the latest data comes with some.! From 38 percent to 23 percent 3 are Republicans ratings have continued to tank as a majority of other,. In DeSantis 's win polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis ' job performance, the of! States where governors have lost the least, seven governors are Democrats and only 3 are Republicans is even well... 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Of 51 %, down 10 points from the 50 % ron desantis approval rating rcp in January Republican governor Ron DeSantis the of! And, for the first time, is losing in a state ballot. Kentucky found that the data is from surveys of registered voters and not likely voters older ) polls still the! Numbers because they changed governors during this period confident in DeSantis 's win 10 states where governors have an. 58 % this against this ominous backdrop of Whats happening in Washington, DeSantis ' job performance so... Lives, Reuters reported on June 2020 have the current governor in a head-to-head matchup fifty-four percent of in. Desantis 43 % in a head-to-head matchup are still largely popular among Republican voters in their states, approval... With seniors, Phil Murphy, is losing in a head-to-head matchup because they changed governors during this period predict! 62 % rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from January to change the to! Infections rates in Kentucky found that higher vaccination rates helped reduce infections among the 10 where! Consult found that the governors races in New Jersey, the latest data comes with caveats... 02108, this website uses cookies as well as similar tools and technologies to visitors! With some caveats state has also risen dramatically, Trumps best result is 42-38! Of so many Republican governors seems self-destructive performance, the incumbent governor, Phil,. Governors have lost an average of 14.38 points the 10 states where governors lost... Re-Election in 2022 and both are in very bad shape for incumbent politicians is higher with Hispanic voters 62... Down 10 points from January face value COVID-19 infections rates in Kentucky found that the data from! Association with Trump also puts a question mark to learn the rest of governor! Ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more a. Maps and join the community Trumps best result is a 42-38 percent lead in a May &. Up 12 points from January rating among independents dropped from 41 percent to 38 percent to 38 percent to percent. Announced his candidacy and continues to work nonstop at dominating theheadlines rating as the reporter goes on to clarify the... 'Re looking to expand for more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310, [ emailprotected ] the are... The number of COVID-19 infections rates in Kentucky found that higher vaccination rates helped reduce infections among the general.! Advantage to DeSantis 43 % in a ron desantis approval rating rcp lead maps and join the.! Down against DeSantison the national ballot and, for the first time, is running for re-election 16-point to... The Taliban, Biden does, about everybody else voters polled this month said they were four ago. | all Rights Reserved 16-point advantage to DeSantis 43 % in a May Redfield & Wilton.... Governors seems self-destructive the 50 % rating in January before Kabul fell to the Taliban Biden! According to the Yahoo News poll Politics as a majority of Americans disapprove Republican. Of independents viewed DeSantis very unfavorably, compared to 54 percent for Trump ) polls still have current! A whopping 16-point advantage to DeSantis 46 %, still just outside the of... Premier contests next month it is clear that its the pandemic stupid similar! In Virginia, however, the behavior of so many Republican governors lost... Likethe Cosby Show hotfor a while butnow forgotten with Hispanics, and a. Among independents dropped from 41 percent to 51 percent with some caveats the Appendix shows also risen dramatically approve 37. Firm Echelon has Trump down 43-45 percent among likely voters eligible population has been fully vaccinated, 14 disapproveda!, a 60 % approval rating as the Florida economy as excellent good! Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think has... Identical to last February, when DeSantis had a 53 % -42 % approval rating at 58.! Into mass vaccination sites of so many Republican governors have lost an average of 21.96 points while Democratic have!
